The Tar-Baby is a fictional character in the second of the Uncle Remus stories published in 1881; it is a doll made of tar and turpentine used to entrap Br’er Rabbit. The more that Br’er Rabbit fights the Tar-Baby, the more entangled he becomes. It’s presently politically incorrect to use this story to illustrate anything because of the “Afro-American thing”. However, sometimes, you need to use the correct literary metaphor, and that’s what I’m doing here. The Saudis have a tar baby on their hands.Yemen is a caricature of a war, fought by pre-modern entities that wield modern weapons in pursuit of medieval ideas of winning and losing.
Despite a near maximum surge, the Saudi-led coalition has failed to defeat the Houthis and restore Yemen as a Saudi satrapy. The Houthis remain in control in western Yemen and al-Qaida in the Arab Peninsula remains in control of much of eastern Yemen. The Saudi air offensive has destroyed modern Yemen, but not weakened Iranian influence or power.
The Saudis ignored the fundamental truth that aircraft do not hold ground. More on that (below). The Saudis also believed that the Houthis would negotiate rather than witness and experience the destruction of Yemen. The Saudis erred.The Russians have a lot of experience with it and are usually willing to take the casualties necessary (historically). Russian mercenaries would have done the work for the Saudis for cash, but the Saudis are joined at the hip to the USA. And the US wouldn’t want the Saudis to hire Russian thugs. The Americans are squeamish when it comes to this sort of thing and the retired US Air Force mandarins who advise the Saudis prefer to wipe out people without antiaircraft defenses from altitude. Who wouldn’t – if it worked.
Mini-Rant
Air Forces world wide are populated with people who are comfortable pickling a bomb or five off at 30,000 ft. and then flying back to the club for a drink without ever having to look at the blood, the destruction or the stink of what they did. Bomb damage assessment photos are sterile things as well. I don’t hate zoomies, but find that those who do duty as forward air controllers [United States Air Force Combat Control Teams, singular Combat Controller, (CCT)] have a much more comprehensive view of what they have done. They boast that they are “first in”, which may be true from a USAF perspective, but usually they’re integrated into force recon marines, SEALs or Delta operators who keep them safe.
So you are saying you need to get your hands dirty?
Not me, but the Saudis clearly do – – or they need to find somebody who will if they want to win back Yemen. Achieving a desired result in that hell hole are considerably more complex than merely sitting in a chair and pushing buttons.
Been to Yemen. What a rathole.
It's worse now. The level five hell hole is presently a level six hell hole.
I thought Djibouti was bad enough. Glad I haven't had to 'visit'… and concur on the Air Force. That is one thing I DO give the Marines credit for, their FACs/JTACs are normally pilots who put boots on the ground.
My nephew is a Seabee (just promoted to Lt. Cmdr!) and was stationed in Djibouti for a spell. He said that all he did was help the locals build future targets for F-16 pilots.
We do a lot of that these days. We certainly did it in Iraq and Afghanistan
Too bad we didn't bomb the ISIS victory parade in Ramadi. Then again, maybe we don't want to…
It's tough to know what the Obamanation really wants. Wheels within wheels within wheels.
If we used nuclear payloads on our bombs, things would be different. No need to send in boots. No need at all. Conventional bombs, then yes, troops are the follow up force.
There you go again, trying to simplify things :^)