North Asia Update

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A diplomat in North Korea’s Foreign Ministry said the threat of a nuclear test over the Pacific Ocean should be taken literally, CNN reported on 25 October. He said that it’s not a ‘threat’, it’s a ‘promise’. 
Last month, September, North Korean Minister of Foreign Affairs Ri Yong Ho said Pyongyang will conduct the most powerful detonation of a hydrogen bomb over the Pacific Ocean.

Those who read the tea leaves for a living are predicting an above-ground test this winter. The mountain where they used to test nuclear weapons has collapsed because of the voids caused by testing. So the Norks have moved on.

The North Korean nuclear and missile programs still have some milestones to reach. North Korea has not performed a full range intercontinental ballistic missile flight and has only tested its nuclear warheads underground. The warhead and delivery system have not been mated in a combat simulation test. Today, they’re getting ready to test the weapon.
When the US deploys three aircraft carrier task groups in a single theater, that is an unambiguous indicator that the US is prepared for combat. 

Three carrier task groups are in the waters of Northeast Asia. The timing of the deployments indicates the force is on station to back up the US President’s coming 12-day trip to Asia.

It would not be out of character for the North Koreans to do an above-ground test of a missile mated to a hydrogen bomb just to show President Trump who’s boss… If there are US assets in the area where the detonation takes place, it will mean war.

North Korea and China

Kim Jong Un sent a congratulatory message to Chinese General Secretary Xi Jinping on Wednesday, 25 October, after the Chinese leader was elected as General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, according to the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA). The full text follows.

General Secretary Comrade Xi Jinping:
I send you sincere congratulations on the fact that the 19th Communist Party of China (CPC) Congress proceeded smoothly and that you were elected as the party Central Committee (CC) general secretary and party Central Military Commission [CMC] chairman.
Today, the Chinese people have entered a path of building socialism with Chinese characteristics for a new era, under the leadership of the CPC CC with Comrade Xi Jinping at the core.
I wish you great success in your responsible work to implement the tasks presented at the 19th CPC Congress.”
I am convinced the relations between the two parties and two countries of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) and China will develop in accordance with the interests of the people of the two countries.
(Signed) Kim Jong Un, chairman of the WPK (Workers’ Party of Korea)

It marked the first time since February that North Korea’s state media mentioned Xi in its reports, according to South Korea’s Yonhap news service.
The Yonhap report noted that the North Korean message did not contain a description of the North Korean-Chinese relationship. Kim is at least observing the minimal requirements of cordiality between communists and neighbors.
As a dedicated communist, General Secretary Xi disdains the dynastic quality of North Korea’s leadership and seems to dislike Kim Jong Un personally. Xi has not invited Kim Jong Un to visit China in any capacity since Kim came to power in late 2011.
In Xi’s news conference on 25 October, he said that the Central Committee received 855 congratulatory messages. He did not single out any of them for special treatment.
The North Koreans are screwing Chairman Xi Jinping’s chi, and his plan for peace and prosperity in the Asian sphere of influence. In normal circumstances, Chinese bullying is sufficient to cause other nations to come to heel, but the North Koreans aren’t listening. An above ground hydrogen bomb test over the mid-Pacific is clearly NOT in China’s interest.

21 thoughts on “North Asia Update

  1. Let’s hope there’s some semblance of self preservation left in Kim, and that he is not one of those few that just want to see the world burn. Having said that, if he takes the first step, glass the place.

  2. If the fat turd's minions succeed in detonating a hydrogen bomb over the Pacific, how many places will be harmed by the EMP pulse?

    May be just the excuse to take him out.

  3. I follow how nations around the world (particularly in Africa) that have been doing small military business with North Korea have tossed the Norks out over the past couple of months. Kim & friends are international pariahs and even the despots don't like them – because they give "despot" a bad name.

  4. Since they have no "range" to use (France and the US used their own islands in the Pacific), they just have to drop a bomb somewhere and nobody knows where or what is there – a ship going from here to there? A submarine exercising the right of innocent passage.

    I suspect that China will have to say, "have at 'em". I'm certain that we're working out the reconstruction details and agreements with the Chinese.

  5. EMP damage is a function of strength of detonation (how much tritium are they igniting) altitude and distance. An air detonation mid-Pacific should damage shipping, and a surface detonation would cause less damage.

    Or if it's a dud?

  6. Hmm. A dud indeed. I've always wondered just what effect a set of smoking tailfins sticking out of the ground in Union Square in San Francisco might have on the political climate there.

  7. I don't think that even that would fix San Francisco—unless it went off. That would solve some problems.

  8. He's surrounded by generals who think that his dung is perfumed. Outside of the cave in the Hermit Kingdom, everyone wants to see his head on a post.

  9. Big Duke Six to Eagle Thrust Seven, this is a Romeo Foxtrot, make it loud — we'll come in low out of the rising sun and about a mile out we'll put on the music.

  10. OT

    But what is it about the "Fritz" style of helmet that makes every military in the world want it? I see the NOKs even use it.

  11. I guess that it's a proven design. The kevlar helmet that offers more head and neck protection while allowing good visibility and the ability to hear would seem to be the go-to item for line troops.

    USGOV went to a different style for SPECWAR operators primarily because of weight and because of a need to access ears for coms-related equipment. When you add the 4 tube enhanced night vision to a Fritz style kevlar helmet it gets very unwieldy.

  12. I remember 60 Minutes did a piece on the "new" battle helmet, and and they addressed the fact of why it looks just like the WWII German helmets. It boils down to the old 'form follows function' axiom. The Germans got it right, just as most phones today look like the iPhone.

  13. I would think the Chinese would definitely be against this. No telling which way the radioactive wind would blow.

  14. I don't know if the Generals think his dung smells like perfume or they are afraid to not smell it and smile. Life can be short when not in his good graces.

  15. That's true enough. You could be shot to pieces by an anti-aircraft gun or put in a pit with savage, feral dogs and torn to pieces. Or end up the way that his brother did.

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