Kim’s Strategy
North Korea (a client state of China) has been an international pariah since it was founded. The late Kim Chong-il (Fat Bastard’s daddy) knew that the last thing that the US, China and South Korea wanted was responsibility for feeding and caring for up to 24 million homeless North Koreans resulting from an internal collapse or from a general war.
The de-facto blackmail of the need to feed 24 million starving norks worked, primarily to keep China from doing anything to topple the regime when it became difficult. Sure, they kept Kim Jong Un’s half-brother on ice just in case until he was murdered — but it was a contingency for a smooth transition rather than upheaval and starving masses.
The North Korean nuclear and missile capabilities are components of Kim’s updated reunification strategy.
 |
| The Greatest Kim? |
Kim Jong Un talks and acts as if he believes that under his leadership national reunification is achievable. He would then outdo his ancestors and become the greatest Kim. That is only possible if the US and Japan are deterred from intervening. He and his cohorts apparently judge that they can defeat South Korea if the US and Japan can be neutralized.
Kim judges that the US would not go to war to defend South Korea against a North Korea invasion if that decision resulted in the destruction of San Francisco. He judges that Japan would not sacrifice Tokyo to defend Seoul.
He also apparently judges that he can manipulate the nuclear threat to persuade the US to agree to a peace treaty and withdraw US forces from South Korea. China and Russia are cheering him on because they see little down-side to themselves.
US Strategy
Like his father Kim Chong-il and his grandfather Kim Il-sung, Kim Jong Un needs reassurance that his dream of leading a united Korea will never be realized. The Chinese are best positioned to use diplomacy to impress on him the futility of his dream. South Korea is best positioned to use the build-up of forces to make the same impression.
North Korean can be broken in an arms race in which it is constantly shown that South Korea will never be defeated by North Korea, no matter what North Korea does or builds. South Korea must convey this message in word and action.
The US-led allies took an important step by agreeing to lift restrictions on South Korean weapons and missile payloads. North Korea can never match the military capabilities that South Korea and its Allies can bring to bear.
During the past two days, several writers have commented that one of the ways to contain North Korea is to enable South Korea and Japan to build nuclear arsenals. Japan has already started down that road.
Bilahari Kausikan, a former foreign secretary of Singapore, was quoted by the New York Times, as saying, “A balance of mutually assured destruction in Northeast Asia will not be a satisfactory situation for anyone. But it will not necessarily be unstable, and it may be of some small consolation to Washington, Tokyo and Seoul that the implications for Beijing are somewhat worse.” Asian states have been steadily taking back responsibility for their own security since 1953. North Korean provocations have created conditions for another giant step in that direction.
Of course, the North Koreans can push things too far and will call for a US military response. My sense is that’s where they are headed and then all bets are off.
I don't know why somebody, somewhere hasn't taken Kimmy and his failed attempt of the East end flat top, out.
Essentially nobody cares.
Or "cared".
He had to launch a missile every so often to remind people that he was there. Nobody really gives a rat's ass about North Korea. It's an insignificant place where people starve all of the time. Nobody vacations there (not even all-inclusive), and when students go there, they might stay in a Nork prison, sentenced to life, for spitting in a gutter.
Today that indifference that we all have for the Hermit Kingdom is changing and I don't think that there are many companies that would write Fat Kim a life insurance policy.
I'm curious about San Francisco. Maybe China needs to advise its satrap that many Americans aren't that keen on SF. Kim seems to have miscalculated on that score.
Old put down, "You have an alligator mouth and a hummingbird ass". Seems no one cared about the fat turd until the hummingbird ass changed.
Fat Un knows that if he takes out Pelosi that the nation will be mortally wounded.
You paint a picture of L'il Kim as a psychopath, and that seems correct. Long ago, I noticed that whenever some other place in the world was getting international attention he had to do something to say, "look at me!!"
It still seems to come down to China and how much crap they're willing to deal with. Do they want Japan, Taiwan, and every other US friend heavily armed? That's easy compared to the fact that Kim has dishonored them. He's made them look weak.
Looking at the news seeing all the protesters against the US effort to secure South Korea from missile attacks. Why should the US spend money and american soldiers future if the South Koreans do not agree in the strategy and want to solve it their own way? In a historical perspective it seems like the US always ending up with the bill.
All true.
He's always been a shitbird, and now he's a shitbird with nuclear weapons and ICBM's.
Giving South Korea to the rule of Kim and his legions? I admit that it's tempting to give the protestors what they want, but it's not what the Korean people want and we've been paying to keep them safe for seventy years now.
LL,
It is in Taiwan, China and Japan's best interest to have the South overrun by the North in Korea. The economic might of ROK will be gone, in a flash< to be supplanted by the other three and others along with the US production.
Maybe, but there are a lot of good people in the ROK. I would hate to see them end up as slaves.
That would be interesting. And as much as I would like to see that, I wouldn't want the havoc the fallout (quite literally) would cause in America.
I would hate that, too. Just like here, the noisy wheel isn't necessarily what the majority of Korea wants.
The US is waiting for Fat Un to make a mistake.
Well, they apparently have launch vehicles with enough thrust to get here, based on the analysis of altitudes attained.
But do they have the guidance systems required to hit what they aim for, and the technology to endure the warhead reenters without burning up?
The reentry part might not matter if they want to set one off above most of the atmosphere in an attempt to hit us with an EMP.
But they still have to get it to that point is space, and they haven't demonstrated that…..yet.
Comments are closed.