Strategy Page Analysis (h/t Claudio)
…”The initial invasion plan failed. It was not over in 15 days with a new pro-Russian government in Ukraine and minimal losses to the 150,000 Russian troops who invaded. Instead, most of the Russian forces have retreated from the outskirts of Kyiv leaving behind a hellish landscape featuring hundreds of burned-out armored vehicles and the bodies of some Russian troops. There were bodies of hundreds of Ukrainian civilians, many of them obviously executed and some of the victims well-known. Russia denied it all but there were all those satellite photos saying otherwise. …The battalions returning to Russia in the last two weeks enabled troops from different units to compare experiences and all remembered the same thing; massive and effective Ukrainian resistance …the families of many of their dead comrades had been contacted by the Ukrainians about what happened to sons and husbands. The Russian government refused to do the same. Soldiers and officers are inclined to believe the Ukrainian claims that a third of the Russian troops became casualties (dead, wounded, captured, or missing). Officers asked around once back in Russia and discovered that some of the battalions that went in had apparently ceased to exist. Russia hasn’t suffered losses like that since World War II.
Good, Not Arizona
(Flee the City) If you plan to leave the inner city hell hole where you now live, this is a great option. Montana and Idaho await your relocation.
The problem with this democrat hell flight is that the people who flee want all the “free” socialist handouts that they took where they were.
The Russian Fertilizer Issue
Russia is the world’s largest exporter of fertilizers, accounting for 23% of ammonia exports, 14% of urea exports, 10% of processed phosphate exports, and 21% of potash exports, according to data from The Fertilizer Institute. I had no idea that there was a Fertilizer Institute, but you learn something new every day.
“Russia is a major low-cost exporter of many kinds of crop nutrients, and no other nation has the same breadth of readily exportable fertilizer supply,” the Canadian trading company Gensource Potash said on its Twitter feed. “Fertilizer scarcity jeopardizes global crop production.”
Belarus – a major source of potash for the EU, South America, and the U.S. – is also not exporting its potash because of troubles getting the product through the port of Klaipeda in Lithuania. The U.S. imposed steep tariffs on Belarusian potash. Reading between the lines, the US advised its Lithuanian allies to slow walk exports from Belarus…
The impact on Brazil (the world’s largest producer of soybeans and a very large producer of corn) is profound and will lead to worldwide shortages. Nations and individuals who can afford to pay more will do that and the shortages won’t be as profound to them.
Identify the Aircraft
Avro Lincoln Mark 1. The Royal Australian Air Force flew Lincolns in what was then Malaya, during the Malayan Emergency. They used them to bomb suspected Chinese Terrorist hideouts in the jungle. I think they flew from Butterworth, in Province Wellesley, opposite Penang Island. They were long gone by 1964, when the Indonesian Confrontation started, which is when I went to Malaysia and, in any case, I only operated in Borneo, not on the Peninsular, so, even if they were still there I would not have seen them anyway.
I just finnished the book by Noel Barber called the war of the running dogs. A good read chronicling the Malayan Emergency 1948-1960. Serious jungle fighting there and I wasn’t aware how much the big rubber manufacturers were involved in their own security and arms supply for the plantations.
MikeW nailed it.
And thank you both for the history lesson.
The evil pedo thing just got worse with this latest SCOTUS activist “gleefully appointed to the court by the same people who demand that 1% of the populations nasty ugly sex-oriented behavior to be normalized in children not their own. Our _Resident is one. The Will/Jada dynamic is a red flag to a larger cancer.
Maybe Musk will start a fertilizer company, I hear there’s an opportunity.
We are expecting an influx of people “fleeing” the confines of their self-generated “no longer nirvana”, believing wheeling into any road, posted private or not, is their inherent right. So, we are installing automated gates at the main road and a set at our personal driveway entry to dissuade said practice that is bound to increase in frequency this year. Dem-held enclaves not doing so well after lockdowns and Floyd-style destruction by rioters, is obvious to everyone EXCEPT them. Yet they wonder why, like they’re stupid to the cause and effect. ….Don’t get mad, prepare.
Circa 1970’s when the trust fund snots started invading the Colorado mountain towns my father defined an environmentalist as someone who bought their five acres last year. The desirable parts of Montana has seen the same pattern. In all cases, the political values of the long term residents are scorned by the newcomers. Isn’t that a historical pattern everywhere since time began?
A father’s wisdom. Exactly. I looked at Flathead lake shortly after moving to Colorado in ’84, 15 acres, $15K. Now you can’t touch any of that for less than a mil. (Boy did I miss the boat on that one.)
After moving from PA (which was still very rural once away from the cities) to Boulder (yeah, didn’t know), did a stint as a designer for Ram-Line in Golden (the 10/22 Folding Stock and 30 round AR15/Mini magazine). Worked for men that had legacy family here (these two developed the Redfield Illuminator scope when the shop was in Durango), got invited for my first elk hunt, horseback in…the whole nine yards. Hog heaven. That’s when I realized the influx moving from California, many trust-funders once you discovered those spouting off didn’t have a job, were warping everything “Colorado” into some weird Socialist utopia. That changed my perspective, opened my eyes. Now look. Doubtful it can be stopped or reversed.
Used to be it was cheap to live in the hills. Now it takes a lot of money because…codes and inspections and fees…due to “the influx” – as with Jackson, Aspen, Vail, etc…10 years ago couldn’t even find Annie’s in Aspen, stuck between crap buildings that ruined the landscape, then it closed in 2016. Gone to the greedy wealthy.
After 28 years in state, many “influencer” cities and counties have become greedy to the point of unsustainability.
You don’t find the trust fund snots living out on the plains. Perhaps the only mountain area not totally infested is the San Luis Valley, excluding Crestone. Crestone being in Saguache County, one of the poorest counties in the state, doesn’t give the New Age folks much to corrupt. In fairness, most of the New Age folks are live and let live with a side of child abuse.
The people of that class in Telluride fit the neglected child latchkey model, eating on the trust fund, or the drug dealer types. And the bloated, belching touristas.
shooting/bombing in brooklyn. perp/perps escaped, left unexploded bombs, how convenient. i read reports of a false flag coming to nyc on 18 april. patsy got away from his fbi handlers and popped it off early? bohica.
I think you’re reading it right.
Only “not terrorism” because perp “not white”.
Maybe it was the NY Lt Gov on the run?
-Kle.
Stay tuned for food shortages… Then there’s the pesos. We’re reaching peak Satan.
Please don’t eat old Blue Dog right off. Save him for last.
Agree with LSP. The fertilizer “shortage” is either a case of Unintended Consequences casued by the economic sanctions, or a case of People Unclear On The Concept in the case of those who put the sanctions in place.
I’m still deciding which…….
The thing about agricultural shortages is that our US farmers are chomping on the bit to plant and grow whatever the US and the world needs. National seed corporations have all the seed and spuds ready to do so. The US fertilizer man(suspiciously often petro-chemical corporations) have been trying to increase US fertilizer for years, and want to supply whatever the US needs.
What’s the holdup? Well, coops and other grain and food buyers won’t buy excess as the fedgov won’t price support it, and nobody wants to take it in the shorts if the fedgov is wrong about shortages. The fedgov is all about supporting not planting, or planting for non-food reasons (the EPA just came out with ‘MOAR ETHANOL’) but won’t price support during a supposed actual food deficiency crisis. In fact, fedgov is putting even more restrictions on food-farmers and ranchers and suppliers.
Get that? Everyone is screaming “Weesa gonna die of starvation” and the FedGov and pResident Turnip Brain and his people are shutting down agriculture for all the usual reasons. Save the snail darters, stop supplying water to farmers, shutting down dirty petro-chemical industries, making it too expensive and difficult to transport supplies and food and just attacking everything related to agriculture.
Can’t farm for food, but you can cover 300 acres in solar and wind machines.
Got that? This is a crisis created by ‘our fearless leaders’ and ‘our betters.’ The very people who won’t suffer one bit when food gets scarce.
We (the USA) can feed the world once again, like we did during and after WWII. But our government won’t get out of the way, and is tossing spike strips and land mines in front of the Great American Agricultural Machine.
Spot on. Purposeful destruction from the enemy within. I do sense a slight shift as some are getting fed up. Musk may just be the tip of the sea change iceberg. When the Lefty Lunatics spout off that him wanting open discourse on the platform is…get this…restricting free speech and racist. Minds so twisted they can’t hear their own absurdity.
Well done, both of you.
They seem to be attacking animal agriculture but if they increase ethanol production cattle provide a market for the relatively high protein distillers grain that is left from alcohol production!
Problem with that is the cattle are not anywhere near the grain growers or distillers. It’s only cost-effective to transport the waste product of distillation for 25-50 miles max.
It is the same cost fallacy that is found in any ‘recycling’ system where the recycling product is not high-priced. Steel, aluminum, copper all have high value. Paper, glass, plastic and, yes, byproducts of distillation are low-value, and only are cost-effective if the supply (recycling center, distillery or dump) is close to the ‘recycling’ processor and the end user of the processor are close, as in miles close, not next-state close.
And the close distances thus enter the NIMBY (not-in-my-back-yard) crowd because most processors and end-users of recyclable waste smell and make noise. In reference to the aforementioned distillery waste, NIMBYs don’t want feed lots or high-capacity ranching within 25 miles of them (remember that whole not-cost-effective past 25 miles from source to user?)
Seriously, as an example, the City of Miami collected a huge assed amount of glass from its recycling program. HUGE HUGE amounts. No glass processors in South Florida. So what did Miami do? Ground it all and used it on beaches as sand replacement and then stopped collecting huge-assed amounts of glass for recycling, and their ‘recycling’ goes right into whatever landfill as the rest of the garbage goes.
Here’s a thought. Farmland and ranchland for farms and ranches. Kill off solar and wind, and replace them with nuclear and fossil fuels and reap the benefits of a productive farming nation again.
“The Majestic Meadows property is for sale only to those clients that have a deep respect and reverence for the U.S. Constitution and Bill of Rights.”
And how will they verify that?
B25?
One more small factor – banks are not willing to finance future crops given the government caused uncertainty, the farmers are getting squeezed from several directions. Also, check how much farmland Bill Gates now holds. He can cause mayhem all on his own depending on decisions to lease or not lease. It is not pretty.
It would appear that Gates is buying farms and ranch lands to take them out of food production. He is anti-humanity, why would he want to feed people?
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