How Reliable are PRC Covid Numbers?

(NY Times) With as much as a third of China currently under lockdowns, there’s no doubt that the country is committed to the zero COVID policy. But as the NY Times points out today, there’s reason to think the numbers flowing out of China are suspiciously low.

The story goes on to argue that the focus on keeping the numbers low may be backfiring a bit because the estimated 375 million people under lockdown, including the 25 million in Shangai wonder why it’s necessary for the entire city to be miserable, with some on the verge of starvation, because of 17 deaths.

Or maybe it’s just a scam. The rest of the world understands that. Consolidation of power under Xi seems to be a far more plausible scenario. Of course, the NY Times would never suggest something like that because it’s a ‘conspiracy theory’.



(h/t Claudio) (Yahoo) Dave Tremper, director of electronic warfare for the Office of the Secretary of Defense, pointed to SpaceX’s ability last month to swiftly stymie a Russian effort to jam its Starlink satellite broadband service, which was keeping Ukraine connected to the Internet. SpaceX founder Elon Musk steered thousands of Starlink terminals to Ukraine after an official sent him a tweet asking for help keeping the besieged country online.

“The next day [after reports about the Russian jamming effort hit the media], Starlink had slung a line of code and fixed it,” Tremper said. “And suddenly that [Russian jamming attack] was not effective anymore. From [the] EW technologist’s perspective, that is fantastic … and how they did that was eye-watering to me.”

The government, on the other hand, has a “significant timeline to make those types of corrections” as it muddles through analyses of what happened, decides how to fix it and gets a contract in place for the fix.


The Replacement 

(h/t Claudio) (yahoo) The Army has found its replacements for the M4 rifle and M249 Squad Automatic Weapon, handing out a contract to put new guns in the hands of tens of thousands of soldiers.

The force is awarding a 10-year, $20.4 million contract to Sig Sauer for the XM5 Rifle, which will become the new standard rifle for soldiers, and the XM250 Automatic Rifle, which will replace the SAW.

The service will also switch from 5.56mm ammo to 6.8mm, after a search for rounds better built to penetrate body armor.

“Both weapons fire common 6.8-millimeter ammunition utilizing government-provided projectiles and vendor-designed cartridges,” an Army spokesperson said in a press release. “The new ammunition includes multiple types of tactical and training rounds that increase accuracy and are more lethal against emerging threats than both the 5.56mm and 7.62mm ammunition.”

I’m a fan of the weapons, the silencers and the new round.


For You to “Be”


Hiding the Ho

(PJMEDIA) For those of you who wonder where the Veep has been, the article outlines administration efforts to keep her off-stage.

It’s all the more interesting with Biden expressing that he’d like to be installed for a second term by the Democrat machine. Would Harris be his running mate? Why not?


How True




  1. I have had good experiences with SIG’s products.

    I would like to know which 6.8 round the Army has settled on.


    • I haven’t read the specs on the specific 6.8 mm ammunition except that Winchester received the contract to make them (Lake City). There have been several 6.8 mm cartridges floated for the specific round to be used in the next-generation squad weapon. The one that SIG will use was different than the variants of the other contenders for the contract.

      • I have ‘issues’ with the ammo. Seems awefully complex.
        “The cartridge uses a case that is the same length and diameter as the .308 Winchester.[7] Each cartridge case consists of a stainless steel base coupled to a brass body via a locking washer.”

          • The SS base can withstand higher pressures (80,000 psi……. actually c.u.p.) The brass body can expand to seal the breach.

          • 135 gr. bullet a 3000 fps out of a 16″ barrel. But notice this is a full power cartridge. The same length as the .308.

          • 3000 fps is kinda yikes. I wonder what the barrel wear is like? I guess they can just make the barrels out of some sort of fancy stuff.

            Wasn’t this the original plan back in 1950, or something? Almost, anyway?


          • Kle, it was the original plan. I know this because my grandfather, P. F. Lambert was Chief of Small Arms Research and Development at US Army Chief of Ordnance then. The .308 case was originally designed to be necked to .257. People in the Army outside of R&D wanted a thirty caliber bullet (a hold over from the 30-06) because they didn’t feel that a smaller bullet would be as effective. Then Stoner came along a decade later and .223 was ushered in.

            I’ve shot .257 and larger 6.5 mm, in a wildcat cartridge – 30-06 necked down. Hornady came along decades later and announced their Creedmore – essentially the same thing.

            Jack – they have to use a hotter (=faster burning) powder to keep from a significant powder burn (and muzzle flash) outside of the barrel. I suspect that the silencer will also serve to curb some of that.

      • The War Turtle hasn’t shown me anything. He’s just another politician who came to DC with a few bucks in his pocket and will leave with hundreds of millions (at least). Sort of like O’Bama. Except that the Half-Blood Prince is likely worth at least a billion.

  2. Didn’t Russia lose a warship to an old black powder cannon during their upscuddle with Japan?
    I think the cannon was loaded with horseshoes for good luck.
    Musk – watch a streamlined private company adjust on the fly; then watch the bloated, lethargic bureaucracy perform at its best, and shake your head.

  3. I’d love to try an XM-5, and I understand there’s a commercial version. It appears to be way out of my budget however.

    • Me too.

      I have a range in an obscure corner of AZ that borders the Indian Nation where I’m able to discharge whatever I want with very little scrutiny.

      • Scrutiny at the Hillsdale Range is necessary since we do get a lot of novices down from the city. I often seem to serve as an instructor. How to lock back the BCG is a very common lesson.

  4. I don’t give a rats rear-end about “the numbers”, because nothing the “leaders” state as science or fact can be trusted. The U.N. is suspiciously silent on the crimes against humanity in Shanghai, as if they’re saying, “Oh, that’s just peachy…because…”Safety!”. Let the culling continue.”

    Damning Epstein evidence yet no one associated with that evil went to jail, including his pimp-ette paramour who is magically still breathing. Another high-level coverup for those with private jets who have to rent a personality just to get along.

    The other day Harris spoke in space alien tongues or some such nonsense, sounded like a 3 year-old (“Look! stars.”). Might have been the last-last-last straw to keep this Affirmative Action idiot under wraps and a single breath away from the nuke button.

    Really glad the new XM5 isn’t black, otherwise it would be decried as an assault rifle.

    Ambassador Lysenko : “It seems that the initial reports that one of our submarines was missing were not completely accurate. ” Nothing changes.

    Musk is my new hero.

    • Thx for approving, typo in my email. Moved too much stone by hand yesterday, bleary-eyed this morning. Sucks getting old[er].

    • PaulM – I sense a degree of pent-up irritation in you today. You need to go to the range with a rifle, old cars, and Tannerite. Nothing puts a smile on your face so quickly outside of bed.

        • So, missed opportunity for some vent-age…went about stone moving all wrong, a bit of Tannerite and it would have been done in three minutes with only a little final raking, plus the 12 year-old boy smile on my face. Next time I’ll email you for time saving “ideas”.

  5. PRC–I wonder if this is part of their strategy–

    Musk–Do press on sir!

    SIG–I own just 1. Fell into it back around 2010 while I still had my FFL. A customer of mine found a freshly re-maned SIG 220 (red Tupperware) and transferred it through me. A few months later he remarked that he really didn’t like it and that it “shot low”. Despite my efforts explaining to him that switching out the fixed sights was no big deal, he remained unenthusiastic. Then he mumbled something about selling it.
    Que Tim Allen-“Uh-urnh?”.
    “How much?” sez I.
    “Oh, what I paid for it, $500, and I’ll throw in the three extra mags I bought”.

    Shooting that 220 from a rest, I can knock a coffee can off a fence post at 50 yards, with ball ammo. As much as I am a die hard 1911 fan, the 220 is my front line sidearm.

    • I expected that Sig would win the competition. They make fine firearms. Boating accidents notwithstanding, they’re a worthy buy. I still carry my heavy (I wear button suspenders) Ruger Superalaskan Redhawk in .454 Cassul as a daily carry, but it’s a caliber thing and a wild animal thing for me.

  6. New rifle and SAW? One can only hope the inevitable cheap parts are identified and fixed before our people get killed using them. Please bear with me.

    Fall 1963 my basic training battalion was among the last to train with Garands. I loved mine, beat up and scarred, I qualified Expert with only two missed targets. Then we were issued M-14s the last two weeks. They were crap! Onward to AIT using M-14s. They were crap. Off to Germany and M-14s. More crap!

    The early M-14s jammed when they got hot. The stocks would break when dropped. The accuracy was decent and I could still max the range but my confidence in my M-14 was nil. At the first opportunity I bought a Mannlicher carbine in .308 with the idea if the balloon went up I would have something I could count on. Several others in my unit bought Sakos, again in .308, for the same reasons.

    I understand in later years the M-14 problems were fixed and many people like them. I hope that problems are fixed before our people are placed in harms way.

    • I carried an M-14 (modern Navy) as a matter of choice. Of course, it was not your granddad’s M-14. Composite lightweight stock, accurized, Lake City Match ammo, but you STILL needed to keep an eye on that set screw on the sight, so off with that and on to a custom rig. My point here is that the military COULD HAVE made the rifle better. It’s still in service with the Navy.

    • I graduated Small Arms Repair School at Aberdeen Proving Grounds in ’74. IMHO, the M14 was an attempt to stuff 10 lbs. of mission into a 5 lb. bag. Make one weapon that could take the place of both the M1 Garand and BAR. A properly built semi-auto M1A is a delight. IIRC, Winchester tried to re-work their Garand production machinery over to M14 production. The first production lot was so bad it was rejected. TRW commands a premium because they built their production line new just for the M14.

      I wonder if the switch to 6.8 will result in a glut of surplus 5.56. My guess is TPTB will want to grind it up rather than have it fall into the hands of the dirt people.

      • Adding a trillion 5.56 mm rounds to the domestic supply would make the armed patriot even better to resist tyranny. So you’re right, that wouldn’t happen — unless Trump was president again. Then maybe?

      • “surplus 5.56. My guess is TPTB will want to grind it up“

        Give the Good and Wise credit where credit is due. They won’t grind it up. Better to distribute it to our Mexican and Central American friends so that it can be used against we dirt people down south. Or it can be shipped to deeply corrupt nations that we should be having nothing to do with, if not for that sweet, sweet graft.

        And totally not speaking of hubs of graft, is Ukraine Our (second) Greatest Ally (TM) yet?

      • Funny, but the Italians were able to make a very successful M-14. Called the BM59. Looks almost like an M-14 (parallel evolution of the M1 Garand to achieve the same result) but functions better and cheaper and wasn’t a sack of McNamara poop like early M-14s were.

        The Italians, after the Germans and the US destroyed what little manufacturing capacity during WWII, redesigned and built a better rifle than what we could after winning WWII with a huge industrial capacity and the knowledge of how to make atom bombs.


  7. Covid. Don’t know if it has been on purpose or not but the reporting has been so biased the whole “pandemic” that we won’t ever get a true picture of what actually happened over the past two years. I am still quite satisfied that my decision not to get vaccinated was correct.

    6.8 and Sig. I bet there is going to be a great amount of confusion getting the supply channels to support another front line round. Installations that have transitioned to the 6.8 will get supplied with 5.56 and vice versa. I have shot a few Sig pistols and like them. Never have shot one of their long guns. I do hear that the chamber pressure on the round is about 80K and that seems way on the high side. Perhaps manufacturing techniques have progressed to a point where that high a pressure won’t be an issue, hope so.

    • The new rifles won’t be issued until the ammunition supply is adequate. At least that is what the Pentagon has gone on the record as saying. Proofing the ammo in the field in a general issue situation in a larger conflict is the only way that bugs (if any) will be worked out. It’s always been that way.

  8. Well it’s well known in the firearm industry that Sig pretty must uses their customer base as the beta testers for their new products. How do you see this playing out? Interesting times ahead for our soldiers that’s a given. That being said I’m a Sig fan and own a few.

  9. Regarding COVID and Communist China. It’s never been about the actual deadliness of COVID, it’s always been about exerting control over the population and killing off the pensioneers that are costing the PRC huge amounts of money.

    It literally is a two-fer. Spread fear and submission at the same time killing off the useless and unhealthy.

    Weeee. Isn’t Communism fun?

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