Rotten Tires

Claudio brought this to my attention:

“This is a thread that will explain the implied poor Russian Army truck maintenance practices based on this photo of a Pantsir-S1 wheeled gun-missile system’s right rear pair of tires below & the operational implications during the Ukrainian mud season.”

The Russians abandoned this vehicle and it was captured by the Ukrainian Army.

The Spring Rasputitsa is ALWAYS hard when you live in this part of the world. The Russians should be well aware of this, but maybe they don’t run exercises during the big thaw. The Germans learned the hard way in WW2/Great Patriotic War.

Tires – made the People’s Republic of China…

Quote of the day – from Mike_C – “You should never buy your mission-critical equipment from a potential foe.”


The Pantsir-S1 looking fierce – fangs out!


Russians road building through the Rasputitsa (below)


The Javelin

(video) The FGM-148 is very expensive, but they work. The Javelin counters the advent of explosive reactive armor (ERA). ERA boxes or tiles lying over a vehicle’s main armor explode when struck by a warhead. This explosion does not harm the vehicle’s main armor but causes steel panels to fly across the path of a HEAT round’s narrow particle stream, disrupting its focus and leaving it unable to cut through the main armor. The Javelin uses two shaped-charge warheads in tandem. The weak, smaller diameter HEAT precursor charge detonates the ERA thus clearing the way for the much larger diameter HEAT warhead, which then penetrates the target’s primary armor.


Warthog Porn


Notes in Passing

A friend sent me this.

“This made for an interesting flight out of S. Korea while en route on a 13-hour flight to the US… glad to not see fireworks.”


  1. Trent Telenko has been posting over at ChicagoBoyz. The latest entry gives some of the problems the Russian ground forces are having with bad equipment, the thawing ground, and some selective flooding by Ukraine people. I think he also brings up the strange no-show from the Russian air force.

  2. So far, up to 9 missile launches by the Norks in the past few months. The wolves smell weakness and incompetence and are making their moves…..why not?

    • Elections have consequences. It’s painful to look at the gains made by President Trump destroyed (with glee) by the Brandon regime.

      • Rigged elections have worse consequences. As our victory in Afghanastan and ongoing war against the middle class American family show quite clearly. On a related note I see the Clinton’s are getting thier global grift, I mean global initiative, back into operation.

        • They are indeed passing the plate (again). Fredrick, please restrain your giving impulses where they’re concerned.

  3. Yep. Historically bad maintenance, reliance on cheap CCP tires, mud, more mud, Ukrainians using a favored anti-siege technique of selective flooding.

    Not looking too good for Putin’s boys. Unfortunately, not looking good for the Ukrainians because, historically, when Russians get pushed to the edge, atrocities follow.

    As to attacking the 40 mile convoy, there’s no need to blow up all those trucks and such when they’re sunk in flood water.

    • None of which reassure me. If the Ukraine manages to stop the Russians I can’t see the necessary face saving being done to make Putin feel like he got something out of it, instead of back against the wall.
      The world certainly made sure his fate is tied to Russia one way or another, and at this point a death ground could be horrific for everyone.

      • There is very little reassuring done on this blog. Mostly it’s ripping the BandAid off and taking the scab with it. I don’t think that the people who visit here are negative people. I’m not negative in general. I live a life of relative seclusion and security in the remote mountains of Arizona. It’s snowing outside now and so it’s cold and a little bleak, but it’s not negative. The world as a whole has embraced a number of wrong things and those bad decisions have brought us to a place of danger as a group, living on the Third Rock.

        • One of the reasons I read your blog! I’d much rather face the reality than live in dreamland. Do you see a realistic path out of this immediate mess? Clearly the repercussions are going to be echoing for quite some time.

          • Inside the US I am seeing the general disgust with what has gone on. Granted, my view is limited, but the poles show it as well and the elite are concerned. Whether that turns into real change is another thing, but I’m hopeful.

            The repercussions of the plague may cause people to re-evaluate whether big government is for them. I still see people wearing masks and wonder why but so long as there is no mandate, I don’t care. One of the biggest problems in Australia, the US, Europe is dishonest media. News outlets are owned by multinational corporations whose agenda doesn’t include honest reporting. Can THAT change?

        • Back in 2014, I read the tea leaves and opted to put as much distance between me and the rest of the world (USA) as possible. I’ve been in retirement seclusion and living large here in the PI ever since and beginning to wonder if it’s far enough away. Sigh.

      • With the new “equity” rules of engagement that Not-A-Professor Joe uses to plagiarize then take credit, you both get to share in the accolade regardless who came up with it.

        • I just pieced it together from scraps of info that are out there. Weird analysis is what I do.

          It’s why I say it’s not the new globalism we need to fight, but the new feudalism. Seriously, those who want to be in power want to rule like feudal lords and ladies over us peasants, serfs and slaves. They want us tied to the land with no freedom to move.

  4. Janes Russia/Ukraine: Netherlands to supply weapon locating radars to Ukraine.
    The Netherlands Ministry of Defence (MoD) is to supply two Squire man-portable 2D ground surveillance radars and five AN/TPQ-36 Firefinder weapon locating radars to Ukraine.
    The Thales Squire radar is used for 2D ground surveillance and target acquisition together with artillery fire adjustment. It is capable of detecting individuals walking at ranges exceeding 10 km and moving tank-sized vehicles at up to 48 km. Shell impacts can be detected at ranges of up to 20 km and micro unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) at 5–6 km. The total system weight – including tripod, cables, headset, carrying harnesses, and battery pack – is less than 45 kg.

  5. Germany has decided to open warehouses with old Soviet weapons from the Cold War era and the Berlin Wall, and to help Ukrainians in their war against Russia. 2,700 Man-portable air-defense systems 9K32 Strela-2 will be immediately delivered to Kyiv.

    • What do you make of the S-400 & S-500? Is it all hype? And isn’t it strange that China Russia & India all seem to having working versions of our F-35- the one still plagued with issues? Glad we still have our F-16s & F-15s.

      • The Russians have the S-400 in theater, along with families of SAMs, but they don’t seem to be able to move them effectively to the kinetic point of contact. The range has a lot to do with the height that the targets fly.

        The Russian stealth fighter is just a prototype, not a production aircraft. They have a lot of bugs with it. Same with the Chinese. The F-35 is a production fighter but they are so very complicated that the readiness (in peacetime conditions) suffers. Same with the F-22. Until we have a more robust and reliable system, the problems will continue. I’m with you. F-15, 16 and 18 are very much the backbone, despite the assertions of those who wistfully think otherwise.

  6. Will Chinese batteries for EVs be as reliable as their ‘military grade’ tires? Better read the warranty close and also see what Ford and GM will do once the 17K ev subsidy Uncle Sam is giving them goeas away when we get an actual president in office.

    “2,700 Man-portable air-defense systems 9K32 Strela-2”

    How many of those will turn up on the arms market?

    • They issue 4 reloads with each launcher as standard kit. So a lot of shots are going out there. Hopefully, Ukraine is the end user…

    • Panasonic is opening a mega-factory next to Tesla’s Texas factory in order to make batteries for said Teslas.

      At least one company gets it.

  7. consider too that these units have been on “exercise” for months in belarus and western russia. the tires and equipment have been thru the wringer already before the war kicked off. maintenance gets deferred until “we get back to the shop”. the troops had no idea they were about to invade ukraine. combat life of most equipment is about 3 months on average. they’re getting there, but the fact they are leaving mission critical “pacing” items in the field is just mind boggling from my point of view. air supremacy comes from below as well as above. you just can’t go leaving your anti-air capability in the mud and expect to win.

    • You are generous with them. Any military vehicle should be able to operate on hardball roads (because that’s how the Russians exercise) for a few months before the tires give way all across the theater.

  8. When The Hologram was emphatic in his State Of Ukraine speech he was not going to deploy our military, that told me he would despite the still bleeding Afghanistan wound. Any intel whether he and his Puppeteers have made further moves with our troops and gear?

    • We have over three divisions deployed to Poland if you include a tank brigade, 101 Airmobile and 82 Airborne + Misc support troops. There are other units in the Balkans and Romania – maybe another division.

      • Precursor. Figures. Praying for more warmer wet weather in Ukraine then…and bad tires and fuel.

      • Next step?

        Just read Blinken gave the green light to Poland from the U.S. and NATO to provide fighter planes to the Ukraine military. He said the US will backfill. Nice of him to spend our military hardware. Backdoor arms deal?

        Next it’ll be troops. Can these dufuses get anymore transparent?

          • The USAF operates 1,245 F-16s with 701 with active forces, 490 with Air National Guard and 54 with Reserve. We’re being asked to backfill 23 MiG 23s. We could backfill with the Air National Guard without much degradation in overall capability.

  9. Dang. I know the mud is extra-special over there, but you really ought to be able to read the ground better than that, so as to get a BTR axle-deep.

    Looks like a lot of civvies around there, to be a Russian op?


  10. It seems as if the Russians are looking at some serious struggle sessions in the months ahead. But regardless, it’s weird, for me at least, to see footage of battles in towns we know from history — Karkov, Kiev and all the rest, and then to see video/photos of troops slogging through the mud 1940s style.


  11. Looking at those pictures makes this once a combat engineer glad to not be in that cluster f**k. From personal experience I can tell you mud is flat out evil. Add broken equipment and the evil grows rapidly. Standing by, with no mud above their ankles, are the officers yelling out orders without having any idea how they will be carried out. Yeah, been there, done that, and glad I’m to old and feeble to ever do it again.

  12. This has all happened before
    And it will all happen again
    How long until “canned sunshine “?

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