The Bang – So, what’s more likely? What’s more in line with the laws of physics and the mechanics of the universe? A stable universe that works according to predictable rules, or an exploding one with a beginning that violates everything we know about physics? I can provide you with two or three alternative explanations for the microwave background that don’t require a Big Bang. What do you think, DRJIM?
There are other big bangs in pop art, but I’m not going in that direction.
In Hollywood
(zerohedge) In “The Floor Fell Out: LA’s Entertainment Industry Is In Full Collapse,” the author warns that Hollywood’s once-stable middle class is evaporating. According to the piece, the aftermath of the 2023 writers’ and actors’ strikes, coupled with streaming platforms’ budget pullbacks and cost-cutting pressures, has led to a sharp decline in production and widespread job losses.
Veteran animators, sound mixers, and production managers recount how steady work has vanished, forcing many to leave Los Angeles or change careers entirely.
Film commissions report that movie and TV activity in the region is now at its lowest levels since at least the mid-1990s, and full recovery looks increasingly uncertain.
Beyond the studio lot, the collapse has rippled through local businesses once reliant on entertainment revenue — cookie shops, restaurants, and boutique services are shutting down, and the fabric of the industry’s ecosystem is buckling.
The article portrays a harsh reckoning in LA’s entertainment sector — a sudden downturn with deep human and economic consequences, and few signs of relief ahead.
Weddings (historical)
Weddings were often inviting targets for somebody who wanted to wipe out the joining families and supplant them. You don’t see that as much anymore. The medieval tombstone (left) is of a bride and groom murdered at their wedding, along with all their guests. The scene depicted here is their wedding. 10th century AD, Noratus Cemetery, Armenia.
Historically, weddings were as much about merging fortunes (or protecting established ones) as they were about forming a love connection. The get from the union were usually bound by established rules of primogeniture, which meant that if you weren’t first, they’d try and get you a commission in the army, or in the priesthood (parallel power structure). Women were considered chattel to be sold for the benefit of the family’s social or financial standing.
Weddings were often a debauch where attendees wore fine clothes instead of armor, and what personal weapons they had were less effective when swung with a 3.+ blood alcohol level. Try to draw a longbow (or a Turkish recurve) in your cups and release a shaft effectively. I’m sure that the Mongols, who grew up drinking arak (fermented mare’s milk blended with horse blood), could have pulled it off, but they were more unique in history.
Even men-at-arms, providing security, were often less vigilant during a party. At times, they’d be served poisoned wine by the attackers, which rendered them less vigilant. Don’t tell me that the “good old days” were safer, happier, or that people were freer or more prosperous.
The World’s Largest Jackalope Shrine
Wall, South Dakota
There are free-range jackalopes throughout the Rocky Mountain West and across the plains states. Many people disregard them as being prey animals, but they can be formidable if cornered. I’m waiting for people in Colorado to erect a larger shrine to WSF’s dog, Banner.

Bullet Points:
** Survey – Do you prefer dumplings or no dumplings in your stew?
** The world order is ending. The UN is irrelevant. Old Europe is decoupling, and the landscape is undergoing significant changes. The Old Guard is resisting conservative movements, but their power only grows.
** Reuters: “Russian President Vladimir Putin said that if the United States supplied Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine for long-range strikes deep into Russia, then it would lead to the destruction of Moscow’s relationship with Washington. Less than two months since U.S. President Donald Trump met Putin at a summit in Alaska, peace looks even further away with Russian forces advancing in Ukraine, Russian drones allegedly flying in NATO airspace, and now Washington talking about direct participation in striking deep into the world’s biggest nuclear power.”
** Is it fair? Now there’s a question for the ages.
** Hamas and Israel have both signed off on the Trump Peace Plan. If President Trump doesn’t receive the Nobel Peace Prize for this, they need to cancel the Peace Prize going forward. Obama received it for being 1/2 negro and not doing anything.
** The Danish Palestinian Study – details matter.
** NYT – In 2014, VP Biden attacked a corrupt developer in Romania who owned land around the US embassy. In 2015, Hunter goes to work for the corrupt developer, lobbies the US ambassador to pressure Romanians to drop the case, then proposes to settle the case by cutting in his China client. I wonder what the Chinese could want with land next to a US embassy?
Uke Drones Strike Western Siberia
(zerohedge) I’ve been waiting for the Ukrainians to begin targeting the Tyumen refineries, and it happened on Monday evening. Authorities in Western Siberia’s Tyumen region said they downed three drones near an industrial and oil refinery site in what marks the furthest known Ukrainian drone incursion reported inside Russian territory since the start of the war.
Tyumen residents posted videos online showing fire trucks and ambulances rushing toward the Antipinsky oil refinery, among the region’s largest, with a processing capacity of 9 million tons of crude per year. “A prompt response from emergency services prevented a detonation. There were no casualties, explosions or fires. All enterprises in the area continue to operate normally,” the Tyumen government press service said. At least two explosions were reported, likely in the air, according to local news sources, along with mobile network disruptions in the area.
Crucially, the region is located roughly 1,240 miles (or 2,000 kilometers) from the Ukrainian border. However, it appears that the inbound drones may have been intercepted before reaching any industrial site, as a regional statement stated that three drones were “detected and neutralized on the premises of an enterprise.”
Tyumen Oblast (red)
Insurance in the Worker’s Paradise
(h/t Claudio via Ken Cao)
Only Imperialist Powers have a Navy and Mao (spit) would never countenance such a thing, modern Red China has the People’s Liberation Army’s Navy (PLAN) because it’s ok if the Army has a Navy…twisted communist logic.
Is it right for Communist countries to have insurance companies, the bastion of capitalism? Sure. Unless they fail. Oh, snap, what just happened and the end of last month? A Red Chinese insurance company just defaulted. On September 30, a week ago Tianan Property Insurance dropped a financial bomb. (elsewhere called dropping a solid.)
5.3 billion RMB in capital bonds — gone. Can’t pay principal. Can’t pay interest. That’s not just a number. That’s the first-ever insurance bond default in Chinese history. And with one headline, the last illusion of financial safety in China just died. And what’s more – it may be the first but it’s not the last domino to tumble.
For decades, China’s sense of security could be summed up in two words: Bank + Insurance. Big banks might wobble. Small banks might fail. But insurance? Never. That was the bedtime story of the Chinese middle class. I still remember a colleague in Beijing bragging: “Even if all banks collapse, my insurance policies are untouchable.” Well… those policies are now touchable, flammable, and officially worthless.
In 2015, Tianan issued bonds paying 5.97 %. By 2020 it jumped to 6.97 %. Everyone rushed in — banks, pension funds, “smart money.” A sure bet, right? Like buying a Mercedes with free gas for life. Where is Ponzi when you need him? Oh, he hasn’t gone anywhere…
Then 2020 hit. Payments froze. Still, everyone believed — because insurance companies don’t fail. Fast-forward to 2025 — default. Ten years later, the “sure bet” turned out to be a decade-long slow-motion scam. And Tianan’s official explanation? “It’s not that we don’t want to pay. It’s that if we pay, we’ll die.” Translation: We’re broke.
How did one of China’s “safest” industries end up here? Simple — they stopped being insurers and started being gamblers. They poured billions into real estate, local-government projects, and the stock market — the very sectors now bleeding out. Instead of managing risk, they became the risk. Tianan was over-leveraged, over-invested, and under-supervised — a time bomb waiting for a holiday to explode. Because they weren’t just investors — they were the silent financiers of China’s entire debt bubble. They weren’t victims. They were part of the same machine. So when that machine finally broke, they went down with it.
This isn’t about one company or one bond. It’s about trust. For years, people watched P2P platforms implode, developers vanish, and banks get seized. Insurance was the last sacred thing. Now even that’s gone. If the industry that sells peace of mind starts defaulting — what’s left to believe in?
Some say, “Relax, it’s only 5.3 billion yuan.” Yeah — and Lehman Brothers was “only an investment bank.” Insurance is the backbone of China’s financial system. If it bleeds, everything bleeds.
Evergrande Default (2021).
Country Garden Default (2023).
Zhongzhi Default (2023).
Local governments (2024). China’s local government debt is a substantial “hidden” financial challenge, primarily accrued through Local Government Financing Vehicles (LGFVs) to fund infrastructure, with estimates of total LGFV debt reaching around 60 trillion yuan (over $8 trillion USD) by late 2023, or roughly half of China’s GDP. This debt has created significant financial strain, exacerbated by a real estate downturn and declining land sale revenues, leading to austerity measures and fears of financial instability. In response, the central government has begun a debt reduction program, but the scale of the issue remains a major concern for economic growth and financial stability.
Tianan Property Insurance (October 2025).
That’s not coincidence — that’s systemic collapse. China’s middle class built its life on three pillars: house, bank, insurance. Now all three are crumbling. That’s not a bad sign. That’s the end of an era. However you can trust President Xi when he says, “Don’t worry.”
Vladimir Putin believed President-for-life Xi when he said those million military truck tires were A Numba One! And they rolled half-way to Ukraine.
In China, your pension plan rests on a son and heir who will feed you and care for you and a daughter-in-law who will be your slave until you shuffle off this mortal coil. With the male/female imbalance still in place and a significant number of the males unemployed, that plan doesn’t look very rosey at the moment. Maybe the elderly in China can learn to code? Or they can look to Canada and its endless supply of MAID suicide drugs for the elderly and infirm.
When I was Younger
I’ve shared some experiences from my youth summers, which are neither here nor there. I have mentioned the “Sheep Camp” trailers, which can also be used for cattle camps. A friend, younger than I am, shared this picture from the early 1970s of one of those camps with me, and I’ll share it with you in turn. There were a few manufacturers of these Basque-style four-wheel trailers. Elwood Eddy and Sons in Mt. Pleasant, Utah, made the one in the photo. Elwood passed away, possibly a decade ago.
I expect that a lot of these trailers are still in use. They were designed to last a long time and withstand rough use. If a 4×4 truck could go anywhere, it could do so while hauling a high-clearance trailer. There were very few creature comforts, but for a boy pulling cattle out of quicksand in the Green River, they were better than camping rough under a homemade lean-to with a sheet of canvas to help repel the rain.
It was jobs like this one that encouraged me to try and do something different for a living.
Identify the Aircraft
1

2 & 3

4

Parting Shot

End
1 – French Potez 630
2 – USAF Convair XF-92A
3 – USAF Convair B-36 Peacemaker
4 – ritish BACJet Provost
4 – British BACJet Provost – Typo
Excellent.
Dumplings; rarely get them. Do enjoy, but have to special order – at home. Once or twice they were on a menu and ordered, back in the 60’s.
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Mrs W tried to get me to eat leftover vegetarian soup last night for late supper. We’d had lupper about 4pm. My specific request = blueberry/ banana crisp. She added a bonus. Keto cake. We both dipped for 2nds of the hot fresh mostly sugar free, but she regretted the over stuffed feeling. I burned mine up with the final run of load testing The 28 modules of the hybrid battery.
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For my late night snack I mixed up homemade kefir with peanut butter and chocolate chips and homemade granola. I was the temptanator, she fell off the wagon on her intermittent fasting. She ate a few tablespoons of her alternative ice cream. Frozen coconut oil.
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Will be ordering dumplings for the lunch fare today!
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The gluten free flours are all in the freezer in TX. The only inventory here on the left coast jas unbleached white or fresh ground wheat. She also makes awesome homemade noodles but most equipment has gotten packed in storage. We are preparing to travel as soon as our hybrid is repaired and few hundred loose ends tied up.
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Stew or soup? I usually get thin watery prison soup, supplemented with wild greens. Am I qualified for 3rd chair near the stove? I thicken it with croutons made from days old artisan sourdough bread. A progressive evolution from the tasteless keto bread for the last 15 yrs)
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Redeeming the healthy fare is easier with beef tallow. Mrs W. was gifted about 3 quarts we rendered from our youngest daughter recently. ( married a ranchers son). I sanctified the fresh soup with the cracklings the night the fresh soup was ladeled out.
I’m due in for cararact surgery RSN, but I still can’t stop guffawing. I lovethe English language (the only one I speak), but am/have studied the grammar of several others as well (Hungarian & Japanese).
“…about 3 quarts we rendered from our youngest daughter recently.”
had to re-read that sentence several times!
Sounds painful.
Fried rice is easier to cook, easier to clean up and fills you up without the overstuffed feeling. An added bonus is that it is gluten free in the same manner that peanuts are gluten free. Just a thought.
Thanks Dave, most often served in our home is some sort of stir fry.
Not trying to turn v.m. into a food blog here or hog the comments. Just trying to learn English better. Looking up definitions almost every visit. + plane and armor specs… sometimes wandering farther to find things like the rotary engine motorcycles.
Parting Shot; Oh man, I know the Geo Spaciel Agency can have eyes everywhere but why me? Just traveled 75 miles to finally get in for initial appointment with a Primary C.P. on Tuesday. Had to wait 3 months to get in. Called around back in June and got ” not taking new patients “. Was concerned about running out of 2 perceptions and having to go to Doc in the box urgent care, but made it through the summer without needing the pain relief very much. Today, getting warts burned off. Unexpectedly was able to get into a dermatologist in our town of 3k.
** dumplings? Yes, oh yes! there’d be no question about it if you’d ever tasted my mother’s matzoh balls in chicken soup. Every one raved about her chicken soup (Don’t ever tell your father, but I don’t use a kosher bird.)
** We are at war with Russia, aren’t we? no “boots on the ground” yet. but it appears we are. Will Vladimir Vladimirovich retaliate? in what way? Is The Donald, in his own way, trying to push the bear to just settle down, lick his wounds, and go back to “peaceful existence”? Does The Donald trust the EU and Volodymyr Oleksandrovych not to do what the allies did to Germany after WWI? I wouldn’t.
** Elder Travel – too true!
I think if Vladimir Vladimirovich relaxes/reduces his stance even one micron, Macron + buddies will attempt to take over/run the Soviet Union/Russia to prevent democracy (or socialism) from ever taking hold.
h/t Sundance in re Gaza
When I eats dumplings, I eats dumplings. When I eats stew, I eats stew.
Re: China. From over at Peter’s place. Many parallels–
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https://bayourenaissanceman.blogspot.com/2025/10/automotive-chickens-coming-home-to.html
**Old Europe is decoupling** What is “Old Europe”?
Western Europe.
Hollywood is a fading business that took a successful business model, corrupted it with abandon, ignored those that purchased their product, and wonders why. I have sympathy for those that built their life around the business, but the hand writing has been on the wall for decades.
Going to the theater was once a pleasant experience. The last time I went – which has been a long, long time ago – too much of the audience had no desire to be quiet, nor respectful, the price was too high, and the rating for the movie didn’t seem to reflect the actual content. I could see where parents were questioning their judgement by attending with their children. If an usher had been available, they would have needed a cattle prod to keep the peace.
The more established actors want to make what they made to make a movie back when people went to the theater. In many cases they’re offered a piece of the net take but a lot of them have high overhead and are rejecting those deals. So they don’t work much.
Jackalopes
Never a problem with Banner in the back seat. Now he is living with my sister, I must take the risk.
Banner would go out and bring back jackalope shed wouldn’t he?
Dumplings in stew…never had that but might be a good adder, altho would clash with a good buttered rustic bread for dipping and cleaning the stew bowl.
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See! See! The Danes are the smartest people in the world! (and yes, I do say that out loud when MrsPaulM…the resident Dane…is in earshot. Gets me a couple of Hub points anyway.) But I digress…the study proves everything one needs to know: Let in locusts and there goes the crops. The Danish Parliament told every single one of these grifters leaches to either assimilate into the culture or get out. It worked there and it’s working here under PDJT. Too bad we can make The Lefty’s go elsewhere.
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Doctors Appointment(s)? Good luck with that. When MrsPaulM was needing some better diagnosis for something or other we’d get “we can see you in six months”…to which I’d say, “She could be dead by then.” Ent to the Urgent Care, PA was heads and shoulders better than the previous so-called MD’s we visited. The entire system is screwed up and needs a Reset.
*** “Doctors Appointment(s)?”
I am not a racist in any way, but …
1. awful lotta DEI hires at the administrative level, quite a few PAs are highly inattentive, innaccurate notetakers (just don’t care)
2. press 2 for English,
3. awful lotta foreign doctors (BTW: my GP went to med school in Cuba. top-notch, A1 diagnostician + very pleasant and will see at a moment’s notice if I feel something’s wrong, rather than send me to the ER; may send me to the hospital anyway, but only after examining me),
4. awful lotta overworked, overscheduled MDs
Agreed…the hierarchy looks something like this:
1) FedGov (Medicade, Medicare, Unaffordable Care Act (aka Socialized Medicine Ponzi Scheme)
2) Insurance Lobbyists
3) Insurance Commissioners
4) Hospital Administrators
5) MD’s (with Big Pharma doctoring flow chart)
—-
-50 feet of crap- (to steal a line from Moneyball)
—- then….
The Patient
Totally upside down as Grifters and Thieves and Cheats have taken over the healthcare delivery system. Do a test: On your way out of any medical appointment, stop and ask the gal behind the desk “How much do I owe you today?” (or more better, ask up front what this is gonna cost…deer in the headlights). The answer will be something like, “I don’t know, we have to ask your insurance carrier first.”…which is total Bravo Sierra in a free market society…because government got involved. Why exactly, am I required to take out Medicare at 65? Makes zero sense, unless you see it from the other side: Control of the masses (Covid PsyOp anyone). Needs a total overhaul, privatization wrenched back from grubby hands in DC and Statehouses.
and total privatization may (I repeat: only may) reduce cost of medical care; it’ll give the MDs reason to compete with each other to treat the MVP in the system: (wait for it) the patient.
Another less-than-brilliant ethical system is situational ethics. Read of a gal who went to a party which, after midnight, turned into an orgy. Her friends asked her what she did when that happened. She replied that she took her clothes off and let strangers have at her. Why…because it had turned into an orgy, and that’s what you do at orgies. Guessing that leaving just didn’t occur to her.
She was obviously a party girl who wasn’t concerned about running up her body count, or contracting STDs.
Always dumplings. That’s like a half finished painting not having dumplings in your stew.
Steady-State or Big Bang? Good question. I worked on the Differential Microwave Radiometer that was carried on COBE, the Cosmic Background Explorer, when I worked for Hughes. We were quite happy to see that it worked “As Advertised”. What the findings showed was that the microwave background of the Universe was extremely uniform in every direction, which was what was expected if the Universe was uniformly expanding from a “Point Source” creation. What does it mean? You’ll have to ask a Cosmo;ogist for that. I’m a Big Bang person, but other explanations are welcome.
.
The thing that intrigues me these days is the “TerraHertz Gap”.
The Bang – So, what’s more likely? What’s more in line with the laws of physics and the mechanics of the universe? A stable universe that works according to predictable rules, or an exploding one with a beginning that violates everything we know about physics?
.
The answer depends on what you’re assuming about what’s “outside” or “before” this observable universe; but we have zero observed data from that. We should hold no stronger belief than our evidence justifies. Where would a stable universe come from, an enclosing stable universe housing a creator? Both the has-no-outside-creator and the infinite-regress-of-creators are contrary to the cause-and-effect behavior we observe on Earth.